Monthly Archives: February 2011

British Weather Guru Labels Met Office as Evil Dictator of Science

As more evidence shows the sun drives our climate a leading forecaster labels the cult of man-made global warming  “the Mubarak regime of Science.”

 

Britain’s best independent weatherman, Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction launches a blistering attack on the UK’s Met Office for repeatedly trumpeting claims that floods can be attributed to human impacts on climate. The Met Office has long been a key supporter of climatologists claiming carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted by humans will bring about catastrophic climate change.

 

Corbyn counters:

 

If there were any truth in their claims we would have seen a continuous increase in floods (and other extremes according to their catechism) during the last century and also in the last ten years because CO2 has been rising continuously.”

 

With his usual flamboyant cut and thrust the maverick marvel from WeatherAction puts the doomsaying cult to the sword with a visual presentation created specifically for a new series of talks and seminars. Corbyn claims his set of damning slides are based on indisputable facts and are geared towards better explaining the basics to non-scientists.


In his easy to follow step-by-step analysis Corbyn expertly debunks the claims of a clique of self-serving “carbon crazy” climatologists. He asks us to compare their forecasts to his own sensational results. This, he says, is the best evidence to show who is more credible on the science. Corbyn is adamant that climate varies strictly according to changes in our enormous and powerful sun and not in any way determined by a tiny amount of CO2 (under 0.04 percent) in our atmosphere.

 

More Extreme Weather Events Coming Says Corbyn

 

After years of being shunned by a mainstream media that are still sold on the doomsaying spin, Piers has nonetheless become a notable figure always pressured to speak at meetings and conference events across Britain whenever he can. Attentive listeners are most impressed with his masterful display in what is such a contentious field of applied science. 

Dismissive of the billion dollar propaganda machine that has been touting the global warming scare for two decades, Corbyn insists changes in solar activity are, and always will be, the key and humans have no measurable effect whatsover on our climate.

Speaking recently in front of a packed audience the guru from WeatherAction spelled out the facts:

 

"It’s time for a reality check. What works works and what doesn’t doesn’t. We can now show the events on the sun which precede our predicted extreme events which we can usually get right 85% of the time to a day or so from months ahead.”

Corbyn is a tough cookie to eschew. With his uncanny knack of foreseeing a long list of extreme weather events – including the Russian heatwave and Pakistan floods; the coldest December for 100 years in Britain; the series of giant blizzards in America and supercyclone Yasi that thrashed Queensland – no one can doubt his success rate. 

In acknowledgement of his astonishing achievements 2010 ended as an award-winning year for Corbyn as he scooped the Stairways Press Ernst-Georg Beck Award plus a check for $10,000. 

Adding further authority to Corbyn’s claims a recent BBC news broadcast highlighted how the sun has lately been threatening to wreak further havoc on our weather. A burst of solar flares came close to knocking out satellites, electrical power supplies and communications networks worldwide (February 17-20 2011).

BBC viewers were shown how a newly released archive of geomagnetic records stretching back to the Victorian era allows us to comprehend for ourselves just how powerful "space weather” really is. Such solar storms in the past have caused huge disruption and there is little, if anything, we can do about them.

How is Corbyn Right Time after Time?

WeatherAction uses all such geomagnetic records as shown in the above BBC report along with a set of Corbyn’s bespoke mathematical indicators, or parameters. These include "lunar modulators" added to the mix which are then compared to past weather sequences to identify similarities with current trends.

By applying Corbyn’s inimitable technique WeatherAction has found that past patterns are extraordinarily useful as guides to predicting future weather. At no time does Corbyn apply any data related to carbon dioxide or other so-called ‘greenhouse gases.’ 

Instead, Corbyn aligns himself with those many scientists and writers who devastatingly disproved the greenhouse gas theory in the current best-seller, ‘Slaying the Sky Dragon.’

 

Piers explains to intrigued spectators why the latest crop of freak weather events are happening.

 

The first thing to get clear is that simultaneous superstorms on different sides of the globe are meteorologically disconnected – it would take weeks for air to blow between them – so the reason for their simultaneity can only be by external solar-based cause which (with lunar modulation) has a world-wide simultaneous effect.”

 

Unlike those “junk climate scientists” playing with computer models, Corbyn always factors into his calculations solar and lunar influences. The latest output of his number crunching has prompted WeatherAction to issue three more worrying “level red warnings” for upcoming extreme weather events

To find out more about this modern marvel of meteorology and get the full details of what’s in store for your weather in 2011 check out the award-winning wonder at his
WeatherAction website.

 

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Professor Claes Johnson Dissects the Failed Greenhouse Gas Theory


Top Swedish math professor, Claes Johnson, who mathematically refuted the greenhouse gas  theory of man-made global warming, was banned by his university employers from teaching his expert analyses to students. Despite the gag on his academic freedom, a brave Johnson spoke candidly to Ken Coffman on the biggest controversy now raging in climate science.

Ken Coffman (KLC) is an electrical engineer and Publisher of Stairway Press. Dr. Claes Johnson (CJ) is Professor of Applied Mathematics at the Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm, Sweden and co-author of Slaying the Sky Dragon – Death of the Greenhouse Gas Theory.

The following interview was conducted via e-mail in February of 2011.

This conversation is mainly related to the challenges and interaction at Dr. Judith Curry’s (PhD of Geophysical Sciences and chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology) influential Climate, Etc blog in a thread called Slaying the Greenhouse Dragon …a vigorous conversation that attracted nearly two-thousand comments in less than two weeks.

KLC: First of all, from a purely radiative point of view (with no conduction or convection), is it possible for a passive radiator to increase the peak or average temperature of an active radiator? (An active radiator is one with an internal source of heat energy).

CJ: As posed, I cannot answer the question, because I my answer must be: ‘It depends…’.

As a start, let me as a start clarify my standpoint. Heat transfer (or heat flow) by conduction and radiation is governed by temperature gradients described by Fourier or Stefan-Boltzmann laws, with the flow of heat in the opposite direction to the temperature gradient, which effectively seeks to decrease the gradient by taking heat from the hot (rich) and giving to the cold (poor).

Heat transfer by conduction and radiation is thus a diffusion process tending to decrease temperature gradients (differences) by smoothing or averaging. This process of (positive) diffusion of taking from the rich and giving to the poor—decreasing wealth differences—can be compared with the reverse process of negative diffusion of taking from the poor and giving it to the rich which increases wealth differences.

Now, a process of (positive) diffusion process is stable (Sweden) and is realized in the physics of heat transfer by conduction and radiation. However, a process of negative diffusion is unstable and breaks down (Egypt) and does not persist over time.

The above concerns heat transfer without forcing. With forcing anything can happen. By forcing (by a compressor, for example), heat can be transferred from the cold inside of a refrigerator to the warm outside. But if the compressor is shut off the warm exterior will heat the cold interior, inevitably and always.

With regard to radiation, it remains to prove Stefan-Boltzmann’s Law of heat transfer from a warm blackbody to a cold. The standard proof is by statistics of quanta, which is difficult to understand and is questionable from physics point of view since there does not appear to be a department of statistics inside blackbodies nor between them.

I give a different proof based on a deterministic wave model subject to some form of finite precision computation, in analog form in real physics, and in digital form (finite number of decimals) in computational simulation. I show that a warm body with a spectrum containing high frequencies will heat a cold body, because a cold body cannot emit high-frequencies (because its "lips are too stiff"), but cannot protect itself from absorbing coordinated high frequencies in resonance, and the only way out is to break down and store these incoming high frequencies as uncoordinated high-frequencies (i.e. heat). In this model heating comes from "eating" high frequencies which cannot be directly re-emitted, and thus a cold body cannot heat a warm body because the "food of high frequencies" is missing.

Again, what is said above concerns the interaction between blackbodies without forcing. With forcing—as in a microwave oven—anything can happen, i.e. forced heating can occur via high-amplitude low-frequency waves.

Read more here.

My own articles analyzing the greenhouse gas theory may be found here, here, here and here.

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Global Panic as Green Sector Collapses and Investors Face Ruin

Governments, investors and even the World Bank are rushing for the exits in the Great Escape from the green energy bubble.

 

Solar energy appears to be the worst affected sector so far. Dow Jones reports on a startling U-turn by Britain’s ultra-green government has caught investors off guard and shock waves across the markets will likely precipitate the further rush from green energy projects to shale gas.

 

The UK’s Department of Energy and Climate Change made the shock announcement as it revealed a comprehensive review of its Feed-in Tariff (FIT) program. Indications from data provider, Prequin are that over $1bn in earmarked funds may be lost as Britain now promises it will only hold tariffs until April 2012.

Green Investors Feeling Betrayed by European Governments

Britain’s decision is another nail in the coffin for Europe’s tottering green energy market. Last year the first of several crushing body blows was dealt to environmentalist dreams when the Spanish government retrospectively cut the value of its tariffs in its own U-turning energy review.

The devastated Spanish Solar Photovoltaic Industry Association, with mass bankruptcies on the cards, is accusing their government of utter betrayal is yet to carry out a threat to sue over the ruling.

 

As the green house of cards collapses Netherlands-based investment manager DIF and BNP Paribas and venture capitalists such as Future Capital Partners are rumored to be extremely fearful of further repercussions coming at a time when European public opinion is bored and fatigued after two decades of endless global warming hype.

 

UK Energy Minister Charles Hendry made the starkly ominous admission, “one third of Britons think the science on climate change has been exaggerated.”

 

Not helping the green cause has been a succession of brutally cold Northern hemispheric winters which an increasing number of scientists fear may be the harbinger of the onset of a mini-ice age.

 

Abundance of Shale Gas Deflates Green Energy Bubble

 

Causing green lobbyists and environmentally focused investors to cry bitter into their carrot juice comes the news that China is making its move to become pre-eminent in shale gas investment.

Peter Foster in the Financial Post  (February 11, 2011) reports that energy company Encana is to get a proposed $5.4-billion investment by PetroChina in its shale gas operations. The move he says "confirms the soaring importance of a resource that 10 years ago was hardly on the commercial map.”


The market obviously liked the news of the Chinese investment as Encana shares jumped 4.5% to close at $32.02.
 
Savvy shale gas investors are also looking most eagerly at Canada where the discovery that Quebec has considerable shale gas potential has dealt another blow to the idea that the world’s energy resources are anywhere near a so-called “peak.” 

A strident Quebec Oil and Gas Association has hired former Parti Quebecois premier Lucien Bouchard to help lobby for provincial development to exploit the unexpected huge find.

With so many known large deposits of shale gas in countries such as Poland, Germany, France and the U.K.  economic strategists are finally waking up to the fact that this monumental new resources could help free Europe from the threat of disruptions from its main natural gas supplier, Russia.

 

Andrew Orlowski reporting for ‘The Register’ (February 10, 2011) reveals Holland has also joined the rush away from green by becoming the first country to abandon the EU-wide target of producing 20 per cent of its domestic power from renewables. The Dutch are now putting their long-term faith in nuclear. Netherland’s only nuclear reactor, the Borssele plant, scheduled for closure by 2003 is now planned to operate at least until 2034.

 

World Bank Joins Rush Away from the Green White Elephant
 

Top line international bankers also appear to be abandoning ‘big green’ according to a report by climate scientist Roger Pielke Jr. who highlights two recent research papers published by influential thinkers inside the World Bank.

Economics papers by Robert Mendelsohn and Gokay Saher (here in PDF) and Medelsohn, Kerry Emanuel and Shun Chonabayashi (here in PDF) chop the legs from under the pro-green Stern Review (2007) and affirm that no human impact may be inferred on global climate.

 

With economists plainly joining an increasing number of scientists in global warming skepticism its little wonder there’s now a mass flight away from ‘renewables;’ such that both investors and governments are compelled to follow suit in the clearest indication yet that green energy won’t live up to its promises.

 

The key to long-term economic success now appears to be safely premised once again on solid market innovation, not ideologically driven government subsidies; such subsidized ventures have a long and notorious history as lame duck enterprises. It seems ‘green renewables’ has become the latest of these white elephants.


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Skeptic Economist in Damning Assessment of Climate Consensus

 Prominent economist opposed to global warming doomsaying publishes damning rebuke on consensus claims comparing science to economics.

 

In his latest paper,’ Conflict resolution in Climate Science: Some Preliminary Thoughts from an Outsiders’ published as a news item (February 7, 2011) on his website, Professor Ross McKitrick uses an analogy whereby he compares a supposed consensus on global economic ideas to discredit the so-called ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming.

 

McKitrick presented his paper for discussion at the recent Workshop on “Reconciliation in the Climate Change Debate” held at the Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen, European Commission, Lisbon, Portugal. The event was held between January 26—28, 2011. Read more here.

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